Development and validation of clinical scores for visual outcomes after cataract surgery.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate a clinical score to predict visual acuity (VA) and functional changes after phacoemulsification on the basis of readily obtainable preoperative history data and patient assessment. DESIGN: Prospective follow-up study. PARTICIPANTS: A sample of 5512 patients on waiting lists for phacoemulsification at 17 hospitals in Spain. METHODS: Data were obtained at the baseline examination from the 5512 patients. The patients were divided randomly into 2 subgroups: derivation (n = 3285; 60%) and validation (n = 2227; 40%). The preoperative predictors of postoperative gains in VA and visual function index 14 (VF-14) were determined by multivariate logistic regression analysis and implemented using a prediction score. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Probability of postoperative improvement in VA and VF-14 scores. The cutoff points were established for each outcome on the basis of the minimal clinically important difference values. RESULTS: The predictive variables for VA gain were the baseline VA, patient age, ocular comorbidity, and surgical complexity. Regarding the VF-14, the predictive factors were the preoperative VF-14, the eye with the better VA, and the surgical complexity. In the multivariate logistic model in the derivation sample, the final VA and VF-14 scores ranged from 0 to 44 and from 0 and 24, respectively. Receiver operating characteristic curves were developed in the derivation and validation samples, and no statistical significance was found when their areas under the curve were compared. Areas under the curve ranged from 65% to 80%. Both scores had a positive predictive value from 74% to 85%. CONCLUSIONS: Newly developed and validated clinical prediction scores may assist physicians and patients in decision making about the expected outcomes and benefits of cataract surgery.

Variability in the prioritization of patients for cataract extraction.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to compare time spent waiting for cataract extraction across various hospitals and to determine if it was influenced by severity of disease or patient characteristics. DESIGN: Ambispective cohort study. Clinical, sociodemographic, and health-related quality of life data were collected along with time spent on the waiting list. SETTING: Twelve hospitals in four regions of Spain. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 4043 patients who were waiting for being intervened on cataracts in the participant centres were recruited prospectively. Exposition variables Priority was assigned retrospectively using a previously validated scoring system. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Time spent on waiting list. RESULTS: Statistically significant differences in time spent on the waiting list (P < 0.0001) were observed across the hospitals, even after adjusting for pathology, age, social dependency, laterality of the cataract and number of inappropriate interventions in each centre. Waiting time was not correlated with preintervention visual acuity, preintervention visual function measured by the VF-14 or priority score. CONCLUSIONS: Allocation of cataract surgery does not appear to be correlated with the need for surgery or the likely benefit to be derived from it in the Spanish participant centres. The use of explicit and standardized priority criteria could provide a fairer, more rational way to manage waiting lists for this procedure and may help to reduce unnecessary variation on access to health care.